创基金评

黄金评论-黄金破位1330 反弹触及继续空

发布时间:2016-08-25 11:20:56

                 周三国际现货黄金亚欧盘小幅震荡,走势乏善可陈,但在美盘开盘后不就,COMEX最活跃12月黄金期货合约一分钟内成交量达12173手(约16.2亿美金卖盘),大量卖单重挫现货金价崩跌近11美元,最低触及1323.5,美盘后半夜则陷入低位震荡。

目前市场关注耶伦将在杰克逊霍尔各国央行年会上发表的讲话,但在讲话之前市场已开始宽幅震荡,显示多空分歧的加剧。由于最近美联储官员鹰派言论频出,分析师预计耶伦讲话不会那么鸽派。市场预计美联储9月加息的几率是21%,年末至少升息一次的几率是50%,今年之内不会加息的可能性是25%。

技术面上,日线收一根饱满的阴线,与20日均线拉开距离,空头强势。4小时跌破三角形整理区间,回踩后破位下跌,盘中直接击破近期重要支撑1330/1331,回踩可做空,下方关注整数关口1320一线。目前金价在1325一线低位震荡,观望为好,等待反弹做空的机会。

计划:今日重点关注1331一线,支撑跌破后转为上行阻力,触及可轻仓空,止损1336,目标看1324,1321,多单谨慎参与。


创基市场分析

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